Latest PSCU Card Data Reveals Pullback in Volume Growth Rates

ST. PETERSBURG, Fla.–A pullback in overall card payment volume growth rates can be seen in the latest data reported by PSCU.

The finding was included in the newest analysis of card spend data by credit unions that are part of PSCU. The numbers are being compiled weekly by PSCU’s Advisors Plus and Data & Analytics teams. In the newest numbers, PSCU compares the 33rd week of the year (the week ending August 16, 2020 compared to the week ending August 18, 2019). 

Among the findings:

  • Debit card spend was up 14.7%, which is lower than the prior four-week average of 16.6%. Transactions were up 2.4% and have been positive for seven consecutive weeks, PSCU said.
  • Credit card spend was down 2.2% year over year, which is better than the four-week average of -3%. Transactions, hovering close to the four-week average of -6.9%, finished down 6.1%

Card Not Present Data

Consumers continue strong usage of contactless, mobile wallets and card-not-present (CNP) alternatives, while continuing to use less cash, PSCU said. The company reported:

  • Contactless “tap-and-go” transactions via dual interface cards continue to gain adoption. Debit contactless transactions have grown from around 8% in mid-January to 12.1% of card-present activity on contactless debit cards. Contactless credit transactions have also grown from 6.5% to 9.3% of card-present activity on contactless credit cards, PSCU said.
  • Mobile wallet (i.e. “Pays”) transactions and purchases continue to trend up for both credit and debit cards. Debit mobile wallet purchases finished Week 33 up 74.2%.  Credit mobile wallet purchases are up 52.5% year over year, in line with the prior four-week average of 48%. According to PSCU, these results represent six supported mobile wallets: Apple Pay, Fitbit Pay, Garmin Pay, Google Pay, LG Pay and Samsung Pay.
  • “We continue to see more volume conducted via Card Not Present (CNP) transactions,” PSCU said. “For credit, 51.5% of purchase volume and 41% of transactions were CNP. For debit, 41.6% of purchase volume and 28.1% of transactions were CNP. Purchase mix has held steady and is up 6.4 percentage points for credit and 6.9 for debit. Transaction mix is also steady and up nine percentage points for credit and seven for debit.
  • Amazon, a top CNP merchant, had aggregate purchase volume increases across their various merchant categories of 80% for debit and 47% for credit. 
  • PSCU said cash withdrawal transactions at the ATM remain down. For the most recent week, the number of cash withdrawals was down 21.2%, just below the average for the past four weeks, which is down 20.9%.

Merchant Categories

From a merchant category perspective, trends showed mixed patterns, PSCU said, including:

  • Grocery continues to perform well overall with purchases up 7.4% for debit and 14.1% for credit. 
  • Utilities also remain in positive territory, with purchases up 18% for debit and 6.2% for credit.
  • The purchase volume of consumer goods across retail stores remains very strong, debit was up 32.2% and credit remained up 17.8% as growth continues in electronics, home, discount stores, automobile and sporting goods.   
  • Debit spend for restaurants stayed positive in Week 33 at 2.2%, with fast food restaurants leading the way. Credit spend was down 21.2%, which is better than its four-week average of -24.4%.
  • Services dipped slightly this week, with debit finishing up 10.1% and credit up 1%. Positive contributors include healthcare, auto, pet and home services, while personal and school services were down, PSCU said.

Market Difference

Some differences are evident by market, with the “hot zones” relatively in line with the overall U.S., according to PSCU. Among the trends:

  • Overall U.S. spend was up 14.8% for debit and down 2% for credit.
  • The initial eight states/districts (California, Connecticut, District of Columbia, Illinois, Louisiana, Michigan, Illinois, New Jersey and New York) that were hardest hit by the pandemic (“hot zones”) saw debit spend up by 13.8% and for the past seven weeks have trended very close to the overall U.S. spend, PSCU said.
  • Credit spend was down by 5.1% last week and has been lower than the overall U.S. spend since April by roughly four percentage points, the company stated.
  • The states where there were no formal “Stay At Home” orders saw a decrease in both credit and debit spend, and continue to trend under the overall U.S. For week 33, debit spend was up 6%, while the overall U.S. was up 14.8%. Credit spend is down 3.6%, compared to the overall U.S. down 2%.  These states include Arkansas, Iowa, North Dakota, Nebraska, Oklahoma, South Dakota, Utah and Wyoming.

PSCU said its  Weekly U.S. State/Territory Analysis is available on PSCU.com/COVID19, ranking U.S. states and territories by year-over-year performance for debit purchases, credit purchases and ATM transactions.

‘Continued Fluctuations’

“Card payment volumes pulled back slightly in Week 33, with merchant categories showing mixed results by sector,” said Glynn Frechette, SVP, Advisors Plus at PSCU. “Compared to the strong back-to-school season in 2019, it was an overall strong week, as credit continued to improve and debit, although down from its peak, remained well above historical levels. We expect continued fluctuations as consumers establish and adjust to the ‘new normal’ while navigating ongoing uncertainty around both the pandemic and political environment.” 

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