Surge in Homebuying Activity Showed Signs of Cooling at Year-End

WASHINGTON–The 2020 surge in homebuying showed signs of easing at year-end.

Numerous factors have played a role in the cooling off of the mortgage market, including the “sticker shock” many buyers have felt from home prices even as mortgage rates have remained near record lows, according to one analysis.

The stunning surge in home buying, brought on by the coronavirus pandemic, may finally be easing up. Mortgage rates are hovering near record lows, but buyers are experiencing sticker shock in today's overheated housing market.

Mortgage applications to purchase a home fell 0.8% in the two weeks ended Jan. 1, compared with the second week of December, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association, whose seasonally adjusted index took into account the Christmas and New Year holidays.

“More telling was that purchase volume was just 3% higher than the same period a year earlier,” noted MSNBC. “Annual comparisons in the last several months have shown purchase volume more than 20% higher year over year. Clearly buyers are pulling back. Home prices have been rising at increasing speed, and that may be sidelining more and more buyers even with near record low mortgage rates.”

Interest Rates & Points Update

According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, the average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($510,400 or less) decreased to 2.86% from 2.90% to finish out the year. Points increased to 0.35 from 0.31 (including the origination fee) for loans with a 20% down payment.

"The record-low rates for fixed-rate mortgages is good news for borrowers looking to refinance or buy a home, as around 98% of all applications are for fixed-rate loans," said Joel Kan, the MBA's associate vice president of economic and industry forecasting.

However, applications to refinance a home loan fell 6% from two weeks earlier. They were 100% higher than the same week a year earlier. Mortgage rates were more than a full percentage point higher at the end of 2019, the MBA reported.

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