TALLAHASSEE, Fla.–One-in-four small business owners reported that they will have to close their doors in the next six months if the current economic conditions don’t improve, up 5% from last month, according to the National Federation of Independent Businesses’ Research Center.
The survey, the 14th conducted since March related to the effects of COVID-19 and shutdowns on small businesses, further found another 22% of owners anticipate they will be able to operate no longer than 7-12 months under current economic conditions.
“Many small businesses are facing additional challenges right now related to weather conditions and renewed business restrictions across the country,” said Holly Wade, executive director of NFIB’s Research Center. “The next few months might prove to be the most difficult time for small businesses since the initial shutdown last spring. It is crucial that Congress provides financial relief for small businesses as we head into the winter months.”
Among other findings in the NFIB survey:
• The majority of Paycheck Protection Program borrowers (91%) have spent their entire PPP loan.
• If eligible, 45% of small business owners would apply or re-apply for a second PPP loan and 33% would consider applying.
• Significantly more borrowers have submitted their PPP loan forgiveness application over the last month – 44% of owners have submitted one, up from 26% last month.
• 36% of PPP borrowers are not yet ready to submit their forgiveness application and 20% are ready but their bank is not yet accepting them.
• Almost half of small business owners who have submitted a PPP loan forgiveness application have received final confirmation from the SBA and over three-fourths of them had 100% of their loan forgiven.
• 16% had 99-91% of their loan forgiven and 6% received less.
• Receiving an EIDL grant was the reason for 85% of those who did not receive 100% forgiveness on their PPP loan.
PPP Forgiveness
• Of those PPP borrowers who have not submitted their forgiveness application yet, 56% report that they plan to submit it by the end of the year.
• 22% plan to submit their application in January and another 6% in February.
• After using the PPP loan, 22% of borrowers have or anticipate having to lay off employees in the next six months, a slight increase from 19% a month ago.
• 53% of borrowers anticipate needed additional financial support over the next 12 months.
• 20% of PPP loan borrowers find that the forgiveness application was difficult or moderately difficult process.
• 20% found the process slightly difficult and 19% said the process was not at all difficult.
• 34% of small business owners have applied for an Economic Injury Disaster Loan (EIDL).
• 82% of applicants had their loan approved and 8% of applicants were denied.
• One in five small business owners have applied for a state or local grant. Fifty-three percent of owners received one.
• 19% of small employers reported they have fewer employees than they did this time last year and 11% have significantly less.
• Eight percent of small business employers report that their current number of employees is more than they employed this time last year.
• 63% of small employers report their workforce numbers are about the same.
Sales Levels
• Sales levels are still 50% or less than they were pre-crisis for one-in-five (20%) small businesses with another 29% at sales levels of 51%-75% of pre-crisis.
• Over one-third (36%) are back or nearly back to where they were with sales between 76%-100% of pre-crisis levels with another 14% exceeding pre-crisis sales levels.
• Most small business owners do not expect business conditions to improve to normal levels until next year at the earliest. Four percent report conditions are back to normal now but 47% of owners anticipate it taking until sometime in 2021. Thirty-six percent anticipate 2022 and 13% are less optimistic and don’t expect conditions to full improve until after 2022.
Employees & COVID
• 27% percent of small employers have had an employee take COVID-19 related paid sick leave or family leave as mandated and offered through the Families First Coronavirus Response Act (FFCRA). Only 37% of them have claimed the tax credit or an advance refund for reimbursement of those costs.
• 19% of small employers are very concerned about their employees contracting COVID-19 with another 30% moderately concerned. Thirty-one percent of owners are very or moderately concerned about contracting COVID-19 themselves while operating their business.
• 36% of small business employers will encourage their workers to get vaccinated. Twenty-eight percent report that they might encourage them to do so.
• 56% of small business owners plan to get vaccinated. Twenty-eight percent say they’ll get vaccinated as soon as it’s available to them and 28% report they will get vaccinated but not right away.