CFPB Finds Sharp Increase In Risky Long-Term Auto Loans

WASHINGTON—The CFPB Wednesday released a report on auto loan trends that found a sharp increase in riskier longer-term auto loans.

The Bureau’s report mirrors concerns shared by many automotive industry analysts about consumers over-extending themselves on auto loans—going longer on terms as car prices rise to keep payments affordable.

According to the report, 42% of auto loans made in the last year carried a payback term of six years or more, compared to just 26% in 2009. The growth of these longer-term loans has largely come at the expense of five-year loans, which declined over the same period. The CFPB found that six-year auto loans are riskier—they cost more, are used by consumers with lower credit scores to finance larger amounts, and have higher rates of default. 

“The move to longer-term auto loans is opening up more risk for consumers,” said CFPB Director Richard Cordray. “These loans are more expensive and can result in consumers continuing to owe even after they are no longer driving their car. Consumers should know before they owe and shop for the best deal based on costs incurred over the life of the loan.” 

Auto loans are the third largest category of household debt for American consumers, behind mortgages and student loans, with almost 100 million auto loans outstanding totaling more than $1 trillion. More than 90% of American households have a vehicle. And consumers obtain financing to purchase 86% of new vehicles and 53% of used vehicles, the CFPB said. 

The CFPB’s report is derived from the Bureau’s Consumer Credit Trends dashboard with data from one of the three major credit reporting bureaus.

These longer-term loans are riskier than five-year auto loans, and the CFPB said risks include: 

  • Longer-term auto loans cost more: Six-year auto loans are usually more expensive than five-year loans because the longer it takes to repay a loan, the more it will usually cost in the long run. For example, a borrower who uses a five-year loan to finance $20,000 at a 5% interest rate will, after three years, have paid $2,190.27 in interest and have a remaining balance of $8,602.98. If the same loan had been financed over six years at the same interest rate, he or she would have paid about $152 more interest over the same three-year period and have a remaining balance of $10,747, which is more than $2,000 higher, the Bureau explained. 
  • Longer-term auto loans are used by consumers with lower credit scores: The use of longer-term auto loans is closely related to the credit score of the borrower. The credit scores of borrowers taking out loans with terms of six years or longer are notably lower than the scores of borrowers who take out five-year loans. The average credit score for borrowers who take out six-year loans is 674, which is 39 points below the average for borrowers who take out five-year loans. 
  • Longer-term auto loans finance larger amounts: The average loan amount for a six-year loan was $25,300, compared to $20,100 for a five-year loan. The average size of loans with terms of seven years or more was even larger at $32,200. These increased amounts may be the result of consumers buying more expensive cars, making smaller down payments, or otherwise financing larger loan amounts by including additional warranties or products in their auto loan, the CFPB said.
  • Longer-term auto loans have higher rates of default: In recent years, loans six years or longer have had default rates that exceeded 8%, whereas shorter-term loans have had default rates closer to 4%. This means that six-year loans are about twice as likely as five-year loans to result in a default. The greater adoption of these loans may potentially pose greater risks to both consumers and lenders, the Bureau said.

The Consumer Credit Trends report is available at: http://files.consumerfinance.gov/f/documents/cfpb_consumer-credit-trends_longer-term-auto-loans_2017Q2.pdf

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