A Strong Q4 Just Got Stronger As Numbers Are Revised

WASHINGTON—Higher estimates for consumer spending led the Commerce Department to revise fourth quarter economic growth upward to 2.9%.

NAFCU Chief Economist and Vice President of Research Curt Long noted in a Macro Data Flash report that consumer spending hit its fastest pace in three years.

"After the revision, GDP growth for the year of 2017 remained at a modest 2.3%," Long said. "Corporate profits declined during the last quarter as companies prepared for tax reform. However, profits are expected to pick up in 2018 as a result of simulative fiscal policies."

The department's Bureau of Economic Analysis released the final fourth quarter estimate this week. The previous estimate had the economy's growth at 2.5%; the third quarter saw 3.2% growth.

In addition to higher estimates for consumer spending, which ended at 4% growth, estimates for inventory investments, nonresidential investments and government spending were also revised upward, noted Long. Residential investments and net exports saw downward adjustments.

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